Sunday, June 10, 2018

Super Two Arbitration Worksheet

The Super Two cut-off date in MLB is not set in stone.  The amount of service time needed to qualify for Super Two arbitration status has varied substantially over the last nine years.

2009- 2 years, 139 days
2010- 2 years, 122 days
2011- 2 years, 146 days
2012: 2 years, 140 days
2013: 2 years, 122 days
2014: 2 years, 133 days
2015: 2 years, 130 days
2016: 2 years, 131 days
2017: 2 years, 123 days

This is an average of  2 years, 131.8 days

Data found at MLB Trade Rumors.

Unpaid promotional aside: One of my favorite events of the year, Empty Bowls Houston, is scheduled for May 19.  You can read more about Empty Bowls, which supports the work of the Houston Food Bank, here.

If you are speculating as to when a team wishing to avoid future Super Two status may call up a particular prospect, here is some data you may find useful.

For clarification, SUPER TWO status(i.e., an extra year of arbitration eligibility) is granted to the top 22 percent(in terms of service time accrued) of those players who have more than two years and less than three years of service time at the end of a given season.  In addition, a SUPER TWO candidate must have been on an active Major League roster for at least 86 days in the most recent season.

For example, Brad Peacock ended the 2016 season with 2 years and 165 days of service time, enough to qualify him as a SUPER TWO.  However, he spent fewer thn 86 days in the big leagues in 2016, so he was not a SUPER TWO.

All of the following projections are based on a scenario in which a prospect is promoted on the given day in 2018 and then remains in the Major Leagues continuously through the end of the 2020 season.

Player promoted on- April 29
Service Time accrued by end of 2020- 2 years, 155 days

Player promoted on- May 10
Service Time accrued by end of 2020- 2 years, 144 days

Player Promoted on - May 19(Empty Bowls Houston)
Service Time accrued by end of 2020- 2 years, 135 days

Player Promoted on- May 31
Service Time accrued by end of 2020-  2 years, 123 days

Player Promoted on- June 14
Service Time accrued by end of 2020- 2 years, 109 days

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