Tuesday, July 24, 2018

The Faces of Super Two, Part 11

Oliver Drake, P, Angels.  Drake was designated for assignment by the Angels on Monday.  This is the fourth time Drake has been DFAed this season.  He enters Tuesday with two years and 22 days of career service time.  If this DFA ends up with him being outrighted to the minors, the number of players in the pool used to determine the Super Two class will drop by one. 

It is better for players on the Super Two bubble if Drake moves on to another 40-man roster.  He has already been on three of those this season- Milwaukee, Cleveland, and the Angels.

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Monday, July 23, 2018

Super Two Projection with Ten Weeks to Go

After Sunday, there are exactly ten weeks remaining in the regular season.  There have been a few slight changes since my last projection.

I project 131 players finishing the season on a 40-man roster, with at least 86 days of service time in 2018, at two years of total service time and less than three years of service time.  This projection would dictate that 28 players (and ties) qualify for Super Two status.

Following are the projected Super Twos.  Numbers in parenthesis are projected career service time at the end of this regular season.

1. Severino, Yankees (2.170)
2. Rea, San Diego (2.169)
2. Jankowski, San Diego (2.169)
4. Plawecki, Mets (2.167)
5. Hedges, San Diego (2.166)
6. Swihart, Boston (2.164)
7. Marte, Arizona (2.162)
8. Wolters, Colorado (2.161)
8. Marshall, Cleveland (2.161)
10. Goody, Cleveland (2.159)
11. Fulmer, Detroit (2.157)
11. Manaea, Oakland (2.157)
13. Guerra, Milwaukee (2.155)
14. Ramirez, Atlanta (2.153)
15. Kepler, Minnesota (2.152)
16. Conley, Miami (2.147)
17. Marte, Angels (2.146)
17. Dickerson, San Diego (2.146)
19. Rogers, Minnesota (2.145)
19. Davidson, White Sox (2.145)
21. Bowman, St. Louis (2.141)
21. Peraza, Cincinnati (2.141)
21. Butler, Cubs (2.141)
24. Dull, Oakland (2.138)
25. Boyd, Detroit (2.136)
26. Turner, Washington (2.135)
27. Drury, Toronto (2.134)
27. Lindgren, Atlanta (2.134)
27. Edwards, Cubs (2.134)
27. Biagini, Toronto (2.134)

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First two players projected to miss out on Super Two:
31. Schebler, Cincinnati (2.132)
32. Bush, Texas (2.131)



Thursday, July 19, 2018

The Faces of Super Two, Part 10

Carlos Perez, C, Rangers.  Last September, I wrote a post in which I explored how possible it would be for a team to manipulate the Super Two system on the back end.  As the 2018 season progresses I see that Carlos Perez could be a candidate for such a scenario.

Perez has been outrighted to AAA by Texas.  He currently has 108 days of service time this season and two years, 129 days for his career.  If Perez could at least 15-20 more days on a big league roster this season, he would be a cinch to qualify for Super Two status.  

NOTE:  Perez cannot accrue 43 or more days over the remainder of the season.  Doing so would give him three years of service time and remove him from the Super Two equation.

What Does This Mean?

If Perez is injected into the Super Two picture, one player on the bubble would find himself in danger of being knocked off the bubble.  At this point, here a few players in danger of being on said bubble:

(Service time listed is player's projected time at season's end if they stay on big league roster for remainder of 2018.)

Lindgren, Atlanta(2.134)
Edwards, Cubs(2.134)
Biagini, Toronto(2.134)
Schebler, Cincinnati(2.132)
Mahtook, Detroit(2.132)
Bush, Texas(2.131)

Texas has the best opportunity here since they already have Perez in their system.  If the decide to release him, the other five teams could pick him up and use him for some bubble bouncing depending on how the Super Two picture develops over the next six weeks.



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Monday, July 16, 2018

Faces of Super Two, Part 9

On the last day of the first half of the season, five Faces of Super Two disappeared.  Let me explain.  A Face of Super Two is, by my definition, any player who has a chance to end the regular season with 86 Major League service time in 2018, at least two years of career service time accrued AND not more than two years, 171 days of career service time.

At the moment, 196 players qualify as Faces of Super Two under this definition.  Please note that this number does not include the five players who fell out of the category for various reasons on Sunday.

Eric Thames, 1B, Milwaukee.  Through Sunday, Thames has exactly three years of service time and thus qualifies for arbitration outside of the Super Two process.  Thames is already under contract for 2019 having sacrificed his first year of arbitration.

Luis Cessa, P, Yankees and Allen Cordoba, IF, San Diego.  Both of these players are currently in their organization's minor league systems.  Additionally, they both have only one year and 94 days of career service time.  Even if they were promoted today and stayed up through the end of the season, they would fall a day short of two full years of service time.

Jake Barrett, P, Arizona. Barrett is currently in the minors with a total of eight service days this season.  He can not accrue the needed 86 days of big league service time this season.

Efren Navarro, 1B/OF, Formerly of the Cubs.  Like Barrett, Navarro only has eight service days this season.  His impossible task of reaching 86 service days this season is further complicated by the fact that he has been playing for the Hanshin Tigers in Japan for about a month.

The Faces of Super Two are brought to you by Summer of Box Tops II

Thursday, July 12, 2018

Faces of Super Two, Part 8

Chris Bassitt, P, Oakland.  After starting and picking up a win over Houston on Wednesday night, Bassitt has two years and 102 days of service time.  However, Oakland has optioned Bassitt back to AAA this morning.  This is the sixth time this season that Bassitt has been optioned. 

Despite the up and down nature of his season, if Bassitt can accrue at least 54 more days of service time before the end of the season, he will be in prime position to gain Super Two status.  He needs 54 days of service to reach 86 days for this season.

The Faces of Super Two are brought to you by Summer of Box Tops II

Tuesday, July 10, 2018

2018 Scarborough Football Schedule

Friday, August 31, Milby- 7 pm (Dyer)
Friday, September 7, at KIPP Generation- 7 pm
Friday, September 14, Brookshire Royal- 7 pm (Dyer)
Friday, September 21, Hitchcock- 7 pm (Dyer)
Friday, September 28, KIPP Northeast- 7 pm (Dyer)
Friday, October 12, Kashmere- 7 pm (Dyer)#
Friday, October 19, LaMarque- 7 pm (Dyer)#
Friday, October 26, at Sweeny- 7 pm#
Friday, November 2, Washington- 7 pm (Dyer)#
Friday, November 9, Wharton- 7 pm (Dyer)#

#-District 11-4A, Division 2 Game

Monday, July 9, 2018

Faces of Super Two, Part 7

Dixon Machado, IF, Detroit.  Machado was just outrighted to the minor leagues by Detroit on Sunday.  Machado currently has two years and four days of service time.  This total would have put him in the pool used to determine the number of Super Two qualifiers.  However, if he remains off a 40-man roster for the remainder of the season, Machado is out of that pool.

Mikie Mahtook, OF, Detroit.  Interestingly, Machado's removal from the pool could decrease Mahtook's chances of earning Super Two status.  Mahtook currently stands at two years and 48 days of service time. 

If he stays in the big leagues through the end of the season, Mahtook would have two years and 132 days of service time.  That number projects to put Mahtook right on the bubble of Super Two status.  Having Machado out of the pool could be what pushes Mahtook off of the bubble.

The Faces of Super Two are brought to you by Summer of Box Tops II

Saturday, July 7, 2018

The Faces of Super Two, Part 6

Oliver Drake, P, Angels. When Drake had his contract selected by the Angels on Friday, the Super Two bubble bounced. 

Drake had two years and five days of service time at the end of Friday, which means he can't accrue enough days to be a Super Two.  However, if he can stay on the 40-man roster until season's end, Drake can affect the pool of players who are used to calculate the 22%.

Drake is on his third Major League team this season and is likely to be a prime candidate to be Designated for Assignment the next time the need arises for the Angels.  Can this Face make it to the end of the season? Players on the Bubble want to know.


The Faces of Super Two are brought to you by Summer of Box Tops II

Thursday, July 5, 2018

The Faces of Super Two, Part 5

NOTE: Tomlinson didn't stay up very long.  The Giants optioned him on Thursday.  He returns to AAA with two years and 69 days of service time.

Kelby Tomlinson, IF, Giants.  If this face looks familiar, that's likely because he appeared in this space about two weeks ago. 

The Giants promoted Tomlinson again on Wednesday.  As of this morning, he has two years and 69 days of service time.  If he can stick on the big league roster until the end of the season, he will be a Super Two with two years and 157 days of service time.  

However, that doesn't seem likely based on recent history. Tomlinson has already been optioned on two separate occasions this season.

Tuesday, July 3, 2018

Super Two- Mid-Season Projection

Last Friday was the mid-point of the MLB season, in terms of days.  Based on service time through Friday, I am making my first projection of who this off-season's Super Two qualifiers will be.

It looks like 130 players will fall between 2 years and 2.171 of service time at season's end.  If that number holds, 28 players will earn Super Two status.

The numbers listed are a player's projected service time at season end.  Of course, promotions, demotions and more will affect this list as the season progresses.

1. Severino, Yankees(2.170)
2. Rea, San Diego(2.169)
2. Jankowski, San Diego(2.169)
4. Plawecki, Mets(2.167)
5. Hedges, San Diego(2.166)
6. Swihart, Boston(2.164)
7. Marte, Arizona(2.162)
8. Wolters, Colorado(2.161)
9. Goody, Cleveland(2.159)
10. Fulmer, Detroit(2.157)
10. Manaea, Oakland(2.157)
12. Guerra, Milwaukee(2.156)
13. Jose Ramirez, Atlanta(2.153)
14.  Kepler, Minnesota(2.152)
15. Conley, Miami(2.147)
16. Marte, Angels(2.146)
16. Dickerson, San Diego(2.146)
18. Rogers, Minnesota(2.145)
18. Davidson, White Sox(2.145)
20. Jose Peraza, Cincinnnati(2.141)
20. Butler, Cubs(2.141)
22. Boyd, Detroit(2.136)
22. Sardinas, Baltimore(2.136)
24. Turner, Washington(2.135)
24. Dull, Oakland(2.135)
26. Lindgren, Atlanta(2.134)
26. Edwards, Cubs(2.134)
26. Biagini, Toronto(2.134)
---------------------------------
1st two players projected to miss the cut

29. Schebler, Cincinnati(2.132)
30. Bush, Texas(2.131)