A Tale of Two Super Two Endings

As far as I can tell, the completion of the Super Two picture hinges on the status of Colin Rea.  Will he be promoted or won't he?  With 20 days left in the season(after Monday), here are two Super Two projections.  NOTE: If Rea is promoted after Tuesday, the first projection will stay the same except for Rea's exact ranking in the list.

UPDATE ON SEPTEMBER 11:  The Padres announced four promotions from AAA on Tuesday.  Colin Rea was not one of them.  My assumption is that Rea will not be promoted at all this month, and the second of the following projections will be the correct one.

If Rea is promoted on Tuesday and stays up the rest of the season.

1. Severino, Yankees(2.170)
2. Jankowski, San Digeo(2.169)
3. Plawecki, Mets(2.167)
4. Perez, Texas(2.166)
4. Hedges, San Diego(2.166)
6. Swihart, Boston(2.164)
6. Drury, Toronto(2.164)
8. Marte, Arizona(2.162)
9. Wolters, Colorado(2.161)
10. Goody, Cleveland(2.159)
10. Rea, San Diego(2.159)
10. Buxton, Minnesota(2.159)
13. Fulmer, Detroit(2.157)
13. Manaea, Oakland(2.157)
15. Guerra, Milwaukee(2.155)
16. Ramirez, Atlanta(2.153)
17. Kepler, Minnesota(2.152)
18. Conley, Miami(2.147)
19. Marte, Angels(2.146)
19. Dickerson, San Diego(2.146)
21. Rogers, Minnesota(2.145)
21. Davidson, White Sox(2.145)
23. Peraza, Cincinnati(2.141)
23. Butler, Texas(2.141)
25. Dull, Oakland(2.140)
26. Torreyes, Yankees(2.138)
27. Boyd, Detroit(2.136)
28. Turner, Washington(2.135)

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The first three projected to miss the cut:
29. Lindgren, Atlanta(2.134)
29. Edwards, Cubs(2.134)
29. Biagini, Toronto(2.134)


If Rea is not promoted at all by San Diego

1. Severino, Yankees(2.170)
2. Jankowski, San Digeo(2.169)
3. Plawecki, Mets(2.167)
4. Perez, Texas(2.166)
4. Hedges, San Diego(2.166)
6. Swihart, Boston(2.164)
6. Drury, Toronto(2.164)
8. Marte, Arizona(2.162)
9. Wolters, Colorado(2.161)
10. Goody, Cleveland(2.159)
10. Buxton, Minnesota(2.159)
12. Fulmer, Detroit(2.157)
12. Manaea, Oakland(2.157)
14. Guerra, Milwaukee(2.155)
15. Ramirez, Atlanta(2.153)
16. Kepler, Minnesota(2.152)
17. Conley, Miami(2.147)
18. Marte, Angels(2.146)
18. Dickerson, San Diego(2.146)
20. Rogers, Minnesota(2.145)
20. Davidson, White Sox(2.145)
22. Peraza, Cincinnati(2.141)
22. Butler, Texas(2.141)
24. Dull, Oakland(2.140)
25. Torreyes, Yankees(2.138)
26. Boyd, Detroit(2.136)
27. Turner, Washington(2.135)
28. Lindgren, Atlanta(2.134)
28. Edwards, Cubs(2.134)
28. Biagini, Toronto(2.134)

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The first three projected to miss the cut:
31. Schebler, Cincinnati(2.132)
32. Bush, Texas(2.131)
33. Miller, Washington(2.128)