Monday, September 3, 2018

Non-Promotion of Buxton Could lead to Big Savings for Three Other Teams

Minnesota's decision to not promote Byron Buxton this September will likely lead to big savings for three other teams.  

The Big Picture:

1. The Twins don't promote Buxton. This causes Buxton, with two years and 159 days of service time to fall into a Super Two slot.

2. I was projecting 130 players to fall in the 2 years to 3 years range(without Buxton).  22% of this number(not including remainders) is 28.  With the addition of Buxton, there will be 131 players in the 2 to 3 year range.  However, 22% if 131 is still only 28-no additional Super Two slots.

3. If Colin Rea, Padres and Ryan Dull, Oakland get promoted this month, they will both end the season in line for a Super Two slot.  Importantly, they will each have more than 2.134 in service time.

4. The next result is that the three players with 2.134 of service time at season's end would be tied for 29th place in race for a Super Two slot. This standing would bump them off the bubble and out of an extra year of arbitration eligibility.

These three players are Carl Edwards, Cubs; Jacob Lindgren, Braves, and Joe Biagini, Blue Jays.

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